It takes courage to grow up and become who you really are. – E. E. Cummings
This is the Sales and Listings Report updated to the end of October 2016. Sales for October leveled out after falling five straight months. Greater Vancouver homes sales were 2,284 in October, down 0.5% from September and down 39% from October 2015. Sales for the month of October were 13% below the 25 year average while New Listings for October were 11 percent below the 25 year average. So while sales are down, new listings coming on market are down too – Sellers are not willing to sell at any cost. West Vancouver remains the most impacted market, with sales down 76% compared to October of last year. Vancouver’s East Side market has seen one of the most significant increases in home inventories with Active Listings up 39% compared to the say time last year. Arguably that market has been less impacted by foreign buyers and probably faced buyer fatigue sooner than other market areas. Prices are as well showing signs of coming off their highs. The detached market more so, and the higher end of the market as well. While House Price Index is now starting to show declines in prices, some market areas and segments may be down from their peaks in the range of 10 per cent. Not surprising considering the extreme peaks we saw over the last year.
Government measures continue to make headlines in the market with the latest being mortgage rule changes that the Canadian government introduced with the goal of safeguarding the health and stability of Canada’s housing market. They have done this six times since 2008. The measures include adjustments to income testing rules for borrowers requiring mortgage insurance, limits to the use of portfolio insurance by lenders, and increased oversight of the principal residence tax exemption rule. This will require every homeowner who sells in 2016 to report that sale when they file their 2016 Income Tax Return – whether it was a principal residence or not, although the exemption for principal residence still applies for Canadian Residents. While these changes do not affect all buyers, they do have an impact on the psychology of the market which can add to the effects of an already changing market. Which is what we are seeing.
“Changing market conditions compounded by a series of government interventions this year have put home buyers and sellers in a holding pattern,” Dan Morrison, Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver president said. “Potential buyers and sellers are taking a wait-and-see approach to try and better understand what these changes mean for them.”
Sales and Listings Report Houses Townhouses Condoos For October 2016
Sales and Listings Report All Regional for October 2016
Here’s a summary of the numbers:
Greater Vancouver: Total Units Sold in October 2016 was 2,284 – down from 2,304 (0.5%) in September 2016, down from 3,714 (39%) in October 2015, down from 3,113 (27%) in October 2014; Active Listings are at 9,826 compared to 10,513 at this time last year; New Listings in October 2016 were down 4% compared to October 2015, down 18% from September 2016; Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings remained at 4 Months (Seller’s Market – although more balanced in real terms) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 56% compared to 88% in October 2015 and 47% in September 2016. House Price Index down 0.8% month over month.
Vancouver Westside Residential: Total Units Sold in October 2016 was 408 – down from 426 (5%) in September 2016, down from 700 (41%) in October 2015, down from 658 (38%) in October 2014; Active Listings are at 1,652 compared to 1,787 at this time last year; New Listings in October 2016 were down 10% compared to October 2015, down 21% from September 2016; Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings remained at 4 Months (Seller’s Market – although more balanced in real terms) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 54% compared to 84% in October 2015 and 45% in September 2016. House Price Index down 0.7% month over month.
Vancouver Eastside Residential Total Units Sold in October 2016 was 202 – up from 200 (0.5%) in September 2016, down from 357 (43%) in October 2015, down from 340 (60%) in October 2014; Active Listings are at 1,047 compared to 753 at this time last year; New Listings in October 2016 were up 25% compared to October 2015, down 10% from September 2016; Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings remained at 5 Months (Balanced Market) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 40% compared to 89% in October 2015 and 36% in September 2016. House Price Index up 0.5% month over month.
North Vancouver Residential: Total Units Sold in October 2016 was 170 – down from 182 (7%) in September 2016, down from 289 (41%) in October 2015, down from 218 (22%) in October 2014; Active Listings are at 551 compared to 494 at this time last year; New Listings in October 2016 were down 9% compared to October 2015, down 31% from September 2016; Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings remained at 3 Months (Seller’s Market) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 54% compared to 100% in October 2015 and 41% in September 2016. House Price Index down 1.0% month over month.
West Vancouver Houses: Total Units Sold in October 2016 was 35 – down from 39 (10%) in September 2016, down from 148 (76%) in October 2015, down from 99 (65%) in October 2014; Active Listings are at 516 compared to 545 at this time last year; New Listings in October 2016 were down 23% compared to October 2015, down 33% from September 2016; Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is up to 15 Months (Extreme Buyer’s Market) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 25% compared to 75% in October 2015 and 19% in September 2016. House Price Index flat month over month.
Richmond Residential: Total Units Sold in October 2016 was 290 – up from 269 (8%) in September 2016, down from 488 (40%) in October 2015, down from 407 (38%) in October 2014; Active Listings are at 1,370 compared to 1,529 at this time last year; New Listings in October 2016 were down 13% compared to October 2015, down 8% from September 2016; Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings remained at 5 Months (Balanced Market) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 57% compared to 83% in October 2015 and 49% in September 2016. House Price Index down 4.1% month over month.
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