“Look at everything as though you were seeing it either for the first or last time.” – Betty Smith
Attached are the Sales and Listings Report updated to the end of January 2019. New Year, a similar mentality to start the year with a wait and see attitude in the market with both buyers and sellers. But the feeling is one of some growth of opportunity in the market with prices coming off lofty highs and some multiple offers occurring. Call it tempered optimism. There were 1,120 home sales in Greater Vancouver in January this year, the third lowest total since 2000 (771 in 2009 and 1,062 in 2000). With only 1,094 home sales in December it is curious that only twice since 2000 have sales in January been higher than the preceding December as January is typically a slow month to start the year. Sales in January were 35 per cent below the 10-year average for January, not surprising after the year we had in 2018. With 4,980 new listings in January this year, it was 27 per cent up from January 2018 and only up 3 per cent from the 10 year average. Total sales for Greater Vancouver in January were 1,864 – up 6.5 per cent from January 2017 and up 6.4 per cent on the ten year average. Total active listings were at 11,427 at month’s end, compared to 7,371 in January 2018, 7,834 in January 2017 and 11,753 in January 2015.
With the real estate market in Metro Vancouver firmly entrenched in a Buyer’s Market, what brought us here. The detached market has existed with these conditions much of the last two years. It was the multifamily market that shifted towards these conditions in 2018 and are very much that way to start 2019. Apartment listings are 2 to 3 times higher than they were in 2018 to start while the number of detached homes on the market is just slightly above where they were in January 2018, and in East Vancouver there were less detached homes on the market at the end of January 2019 compared to January 2018. With the total number of occupied households up 27 per cent since 2001, there are far few homes listed in comparison to the total number of homes available to be sold. Where 2019 will go from here will in part depend on the pace of listings that come on the market. As it stands now, there is a lack of real inventory on the market. Some of what is currently listed on the market are listings that are priced beyond current market values and some are listed as part of land assemblies. There is demand waiting to buy, but looking for the right property and the right price. With word of one detached house listing on Vancouver’s East Side this weekend having 49 offers on it (there were only 44 detached sales in all of January), it would appear buyers are there.
“REALTORS® are seeing more traffic at open houses compared to recent months, however buyers are choosing to remain in a holding pattern for the time being,” Phil Moore, Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver president said. “Home prices have edged down across all home types in the region over the last seven months.”
In the Fraser Valley, there were 784 sales of all property types which was a 35.2 per cent decrease compared to January of last year and a 2 per cent decrease from December 2018. Of the 784 sales last month, 250 were residential detached homes, 190 were townhouses and 257 were apartments. This is the first time in the Board’s history that apartments have outsold residential detached homes during a month.
“This remains a challenging environment for buyers and sellers alike,” said John Barbisan, President of the Fraser Valley Real Estate Board. “Factors such as reduced buying power, changing expectations for pricing, and a recovering inventory are all having an impact.”
Here’s a summary of the numbers:
Greater Vancouver: Total Units Sold in January 2019 was 1,120 – down from 1,846 (39%) from January 2018, down from 1,553 (28%) in January 2017; Active Listings are at 11,427 compared to 7,371 at this time last year; New Listings in January 2018 were up 27% compared to January 2018; Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is at 10 Month’s Supply (Buyer’s Market) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 22% compared to 47% in January 2018.
Vancouver Westside Residential: Total Units Sold in January 2019 was 187 – down from 313 (40%) from January 2018, down from 271 (31%) in January 2017; Active Listings are at 2,084 compared to 1,331 at this time last year; New Listings in January 2018 were up 21% compared to January 2018; Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is at 11 Month’s Supply (Buyer’s Market) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 19% compared to 39% in January 2018.
Vancouver Eastside Residential: Total Units Sold in January 2019 was 105 – down from 137 (23%) from January 2018, down from 139 (24%) in January 2017; Active Listings are at 1,071 compared to 922 at this time last year; New Listings in January 2018 were up 16% compared to January 2018; Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is at 10 Month’s Supply (Buyer’s Market) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 23% compared to 34% in January 2018.
North Vancouver Residential Total Units Sold in January 2019 was 91 – down from 132 (31%) from January 2018, down from 107 (15%) in January 2017; Active Listings are at 740 compared to 413 at this time last year; New Listings in January 2018 were up 47% compared to January 2018; Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is at 8 Month’s Supply (Buyer’s Market) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 21% compared to 45% in January 2018.
West Vancouver Houses: Total Units Sold in January 2019 was 26 – down from 43 (40%) from January 2018, the same as January 2017; Active Listings are at 599 compared to 493 at this time last year; New Listings in January 2018 were up 21% compared to January 2018; Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is at 23 Month’s Supply (Buyer’s Market) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 11% compared to 23% in January 2018.
Richmond Residential: Total Units Sold in January 2019 was 121 – down from 275 (56%) from January 2018, down from 225 (46%) in January 2017; Active Listings are at 1,696 compared to 1,104 at this time last year; New Listings in January 2018 were up 39% compared to January 2018; Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is at 14 Month’s Supply (Buyer’s Market) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 16% compared to 50% in January 2018.
Burnaby East: Total Units Sold in January 2019 was 11 – down from 29 (62%) from January 2018, down from 18 (39%) in January 2017; Active Listings are at 119 compared to 114 at this time last year; New Listings in January 2018 were down 14% compared to January 2018; Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is at 11 Month’s Supply (Buyer’s Market) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 20% compared to 45% in January 2018.
Burnaby North: Total Units Sold in January 2019 was 65 – down from 73 (11%) from January 2018, down from 72 (10%) in January 2017; Active Listings are at 483 compared to 264 at this time last year; New Listings in January 2018 were up 34% compared to January 2018; Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is at 7 Month’s Supply (Buyer’s Market) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 30% compared to 45% in January 2018.
Burnaby South: Total Units Sold in January 2019 was 55 – down from 102 (46%) from January 2018, down from 86 (36%) in January 2017; Active Listings are at 657 compared to 361 at this time last year; New Listings in January 2018 were up 38% compared to January 2018; Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is at 12 Month’s Supply (Buyer’s Market) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 20% compared to 50% in January 2018.
New Westminster: Total Units Sold in January 2019 was 75 – down from 96 (22%) from January 2018, up from 63 (19%) in January 2017; Active Listings are at 386 compared to 205 at this time last year; New Listings in January 2018 were up 26% compared to January 2018; Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is at 5 Month’s Supply (Balanced Market) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 38% compared to 62% in January 2018.
Coquitlam: Total Units Sold in January 2019 was 87 – down from 156 (44%) from January 2018, down from 114 (24%) in January 2017; Active Listings are at 788 compared to 469 at this time last year; New Listings in January 2018 were up 39% compared to January 2018; Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is at 9 Month’s Supply (Buyer’s Market) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 23% compared to 58% in January 2018.
Port Moody: Total Units Sold in January 2019 was 31 – down from 46 (33%) from January 2018, down from 43 (28%) in January 2017; Active Listings are at 165 compared to 100 at this time last year; New Listings in January 2018 were up 22% compared to January 2018; Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is at 5 Month’s Supply (Detached is a Buyer’s Market, Townhomes and Apartments a Balanced Market) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 37% compared to 68% in January 2018.
Port Coquitlam: Total Units Sold in January 2019 was 38 – down from 58 (34%) from January 2018, down from 60 (37%) in January 2017; Active Listings are at 290 compared to 155 at this time last year; New Listings in January 2018 were up 35% compared to January 2018; Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is at 8 Month’s Supply (Buyer’s Market) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 27% compared to 55% in January 2018.
Pitt Meadows: Total Units Sold in January 2019 was 10 – down from 18 (44%) from January 2018, down from 23 (57%) in January 2017; Active Listings are at 96 compared to 57 at this time last year; New Listings in January 2018 were up 25% compared to January 2018; Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is at 10 Month’s Supply (Buyer’s Market) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 25% compared to 58% in January 2018.
Maple Ridge: Total Units Sold in January 2019 was 82 – down from 182 (54%) from January 2018, down from 100 (28%) in January 2017; Active Listings are at 602 compared to 343 at this time last year; New Listings in January 2018 were up 16% compared to January 2018; Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is at 7 Month’s Supply (Buyer’s Market) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 32% compared to 84% in January 2018.
Ladner: Total Units Sold in January 2019 was 16 – down from 19 (16%) from January 2018, down from 18 (11%) in January 2017; Active Listings are at 143 compared to 102 at this time last year; New Listings in January 2018 were up 15% compared to January 2018; Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is at 9 Month’s Supply (Buyer’s Market) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 26% compared to 35% in January 2018.
Tsawwassen: Total Units Sold in January 2019 was 14 – down from 16 (12%) from January 2018, down from 21 (33%) in January 2017; Active Listings are at 182 compared to 157 at this time last year; New Listings in January 2018 were up 18% compared to January 2018; Month’s Supply of Total Residential Listings is at 13 Month’s Supply (Buyer’s Market) and a Sales to Listings Ratio of 19% compared to 26% in January 2018.
Kevin Skipworth
Dexter Realty
Broker/Owner
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